The-Kids' Real 2025 MLB/Baseball Thread *_*

  • Thread starter Thread starter The~Kid
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And as said dont mean to be rude but when people or well the average person brings up whatever they have to say about most of what actually happens in the sport...... Nvm what most "experts" have to say which is about as informative as what you get from your average person....... It's rather pedestrian........



And it's hard to explain but as said a team is very much like a car and every team could make that car only so good.


IMO both teams/cars in regards to the Dodgers and Blue Jays were pretty equal in talent, ability, skill etc etc but that isn't what separated the better team from the lesser one IMO.......


What separated the teams were the drivers in the front seat in this case the Team Managers, the coaches and the Front Of House and Analytics dudes that ultimately designed their teams/cars to execute their version of Plan C and their strategy to drive their car/team to the finish line in 1st place......



The Dodgers simply deployed a better strategy and a better Plan C and drove the car/team better from Game 6 going into Game 7 especially with their pitchers and navigating the Ohtani Rule..... A lot of "luck" so to speak happened for both teams..... But ultimately the core strategy was implementing Plan C and your pitchers appropriately..... For the "hook" as Buck Showalter pointed out in Foul Territory.



The extra push that would have been Gausman that never was deployed by the Blue Jays in Game 7..... Became the Dodgers extra push with Yamamoto and Yamamoto and that move pretty much was a deciding factor that gave the Dodgers the extra bump right at the moment they needed to cross the finish line and win the World Series.



Essentially Plan C was limiting use of either teams Bullpen and going for a Blitzkrieg with ones starting pitchers to pierce through and give that extra push at the right moment..... The Dodgers just did it better and fully bought into Plan C 100% with Yamamoto and that's what made them the better team.


It wasn't luck or hope or praying to God or some BS....... It was strategy and strategy wins games!!!!!!



That's why Yamamoto is the World Series MVP and damn well the best pitcher alive...... And IMO what made the difference for the Dodgers in the 2025 World Series.


 
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Here's to a living legend....... And what a player......what a dude....... Your 2025 World Series MVP *_*




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When I first started this 3 years ago all the "experts" or well people who knew about Baseball and played it all their life thought this was crazy...... That Statistics and MoneyBall were destroying Baseball..... But I wasn't using outdated stats and methodology from the 2000s.... I was using modern stats and my WAR-Ratio marrying the WAR stat in Baseball with the PEG-Ratio in Business and economics.....


It started in 2023 and it was an experiment not to beat the "experts" but simply to better understand the game and see what Baseball was trying to show me and well was trying to show all of us through math and science...... And it worked and for 3 seasons now back to back it worked.....


Now I ask myself again why did I do this or why I did it for 3 seasons back to back to back..... And aside from understanding the game better I knew that on some level if I could do this...... It would piss off the "Baseball" people and well Baseball or one can say the "powers that be" in Baseball or those behind the reins...... And well yeah this pisses off those in power because it takes power away from them and takes control away from them......


Baseball hates me and guys like me because I show what Real Baseball is actually about and what it really is at its core and the sports roots....... How Baseball should be played, how it's actually played and I show Baseball for what it is with no sprinkled BS..... Me and people like me show the game for what it is and what Real Baseball is...... And well yeah.....


As the Red Sox owner said that's always going to piss off Baseball and the "Baseball People" especially those in power....... And being truthful there is just something fun, exhilarating and satisfying about pissing off self serving POS bastards in power and you really can't put a price on that or buy that and that's why I have been doing it for 3 seasons now mainly aside from doing it for my Dad too...... Take it from me, it's absolutely priceless.


This industry spends millions and millions of dollars just to make projections and models of events in the future yet to happen with hundreds if not thousands of different people in different organizations in an industry within an industry that is Baseball............. I spent 0 dollars and I beat them all for 3 seasons back to back to back ^_^



 
There will be no Salary Cap after the 2025 World Series for fear that it will cause a Players lockout after the sport has grown so much thanks this World Series and Game 7 between the Dodgers and Blue Jays.......


Although the argument for a Salary Cap has never been stronger the Salary Cap itself threatens Baseballs momentum and growth going into the 21st Century with a Players Lockout..... The Commissioner will back down, eat shit and there will be no Salary Cap in the coming CBA ^_^



 
IMO this FA Class is full of....... Illusion...... And overvalued product......


People look at the name...... Stop looking at the name.....


Look at production and value for what it is depending on what ones team needs...... Does a team need a pitcher with a lower FIP or higher LOB%....... Maybe a hitter with more OBP or AVG etc etc...... as always how the usual conversations go at Clubhouses before Winter Meetings and in the Winter in general...... As it was back then it is pretty much the same shit now a quarter of a century and 25 years later.



 
Its pretty much so smug coming from a Manager and a guy in a franchise who has a the highest payroll and uses the most advanced analytics..... To say they don't matter or whatever especially since fucker pretty much bought in 100% to Plan C....... Which was made based off analytics..... But nvm that.


Respect where it's due for Dave Roberts for sure for making some good moves but I pretty much wrote the core of the strategy here on the forum in Plan C for both teams before it even happened in Game 6 for the Dodgers and in Game 7 for both teams......


Yes gut and split second decisions matter but they compliment the analytics..... And the analytics compliments the eye and they go hand in hand..... This for example is why you use your Starters mainly vs bullpen or say move Will Smith up the lineup and move Mookie down or take Pages out and put Rojas in for Game 6 etc etc...... Because that's what the analytics tell you and basic logic :dunno:



 
The~Kid said:
Dodgers Plan A is to use Yamamoto and have him go for as long as he can and go 9 again if possible.



Plan B IMO is if need be use Sasaki earlier than needed don't wait to save him to close, all hands on deck to win now.



Plan C IMO is if they get to Yamamoto very early........ Use Sho or Glasnow to bridge to Sasaki or use Sho and Glasnow to relieve and close the game...... This is the craziest plan of all three but at this point it's going to take all the kings horses and all the kings men to put the Dodgers back together again.


Plan C stands for chaos...... It may not make sense because then who pitches tomorrow but at this point the Dodgers need to play like there is no tomorrow if the World Series is to go to a Game 7.
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The~Kid said:
For me IMO best plans for the Blue Jays is yeah get Ohtani out..... Don't walk him..... Attack him make him swing get him tired.... The more you get him tired on the plate the better chance you have against him on the mound as it's unexpected. He's expecting to get walked and IMO wouldn't mind it to work less and concentrate on the mound..... Don't walk him attack, attack and attack and get him off balance early.

Maybe walk him later in the game but early in attack when he's in the box and lay it on him on the mound. Force Glasnow out in a tricky situation and lay it on some more. The bats just have to come alive again, maybe focus on AVG vs SLG to get the fire going and go from there. They also got Chris Bassitt so maybe he can close the game or be a bridge between Yasavage and Bieber or he could be put in to relieve Sherzer. If things get leaky though use your best arms to stop the leak. Also Bo and Vlady Jr need to get their mojo going and getting it going like they have never done in their life.


Get length from Sherzer but if he needs to empty the tank to get the job done let him do it and bring him out after the 4th or 5th or maybe 6.1+ for Yasavage, Bieber or whatever makes sense but don't be afraid to use Yasavage and Bieber early if need be. If Scherzer can reach 4 or 5 innings call it a win. The pitching can hold it down IMO but the bats really need to come alive for the Blue Jays to win and they need to go off like they did in Game 1.



For the Dodgers best plan is simply to have Ohtani dial in but don't over work him, build up that defense behind him. Sho will bring gas but on short rest in between starts he's not going to be 100% possibly to go long. Use Sasaki or Glasnow maybe not immediately but as soon as there is real trouble and go from there. Don't forget Snell and even Kershaw.

The Blue Jays I expect are going to be dialed in learning from tonights loss and well the only guy that has really given them trouble is Yamamoto otherwise they have showed the kinks in the Dodgers pitching in general...... So use your best when you need to and don't depend on the bullpen unless you absolutely must. If you need to have Glasnow or Sasaki relieve and close the game that may be the best option.


It would be ideal to use Glasnow for a Game 7 to start but then you really wouldn't be able to use Ohtani unless you took him out of the DH role since he didn't start the game in that scenario and the Ohtani-Rule wouldn't apply there. This is why in order to use Ohtanis arm and keep him as DH it's best IMO to use him to start and then go Glasnow or Sasaki etc etc or whatever makes sense from that point on and the Ohtani-Rule would apply allowing him to continue to DH since he would start the game in that scenario. Glasnow could be started and then Ohtani could be used as a bullpen arm and that is also possible but again a more risky option IMO but possibly viable...... Sho could be used as a reliever, removed as DH and then be put in the Outfield but that is probably the most bat shit crazy thing anyone can imagine or think of but at this point who the hell knows. Anything is possible :dunno:
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The~Kid said:
Fuck me......


You may even see Yamamoto and Gausman again today..... Because there are no more tomorrows after today.




Plan C stands for Chaos........ Anything could happen and all hands are on deck to win now..... no bullshit, no pussy shit, no fucking around.......this one is for all the marbles in the bags boys.


Its going to take 72+ innings to decide top dog...... Time to see who crosses the finish line to make 1st place baby....... This is what it's all about...... Game 7 of the 2025 World Series.


Plan C......


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Some people say you couldn't have written a better story or a script out of a Hollywood ending...... That no one could have imagined some of these insane things that went down here...... But I did in a sense from all hands on deck starting in Game 6 to 72+ innings that decided the winner...... With Plan C.



When it comes to how it came down I don't bring it down to luck....... Hope and luck doesn't win games...... Praying to God doesn't win games...... That shit doesn't lead to winners and winning championships or the World Series in this case IME doing this for 3 seasons now.




Strategy wins........ And Strategy wins games and that is what Plan C is all about!!!!! Plan C is nothing more but pure Strategy!!!!!!



I don't believe in luck to win and luck didn't decide the 2025 World Series Champions....... Going back to Plan C which I developed here on the forum in this thread that I wrote down for the Dodgers in Game 6 and for both the Blue Jays and Dodgers in Game 7...... Doing crazy shit like bringing Sasaki out earlier than normal or taking Glasnow or Sho to close the game in this case Glasnow to take the victory in Game 6 to go to a Game 7......


Plan C stands for Chaos.......


And doing everything possible even if it sounds bat shit crazy that needs to be done to win as if there is no tomorrow and the Dodgers pulled it off in Game 6 and better than the Blue Jays in Game 7.


Game 7 was all about Plan C and as we can see it was Pure Chaos as Game 6 was...... Both teams were on the red line..... And Yamamoto made the difference in Plan C as insane as it sounded and was as projected by me Yamamoto was used....... Had the Blue Jays gone for Gausman at the right time fully bought into Plan C things may have gone differently and they did go Plan C but not as well or as bought in as the Dodgers.


Yamamoto and that extra push and extra insanity in a sense and idea to do everything possible to win and that type of killer instinct is what pushed the Dodgers to 1st place and past the finish line....... To play like there are no tomorrows and nvm the BS, noise, and pussy shit..... A real American no more fucking around attitude!!!!!!




Hope, luck or praying to God doesn't win games...... Strategy wins games and the Dodgers executed Plan C 100% to win Game 7 and the 2025 World Series *_*
 
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This game and series will be played over and over again many times over the winter and for all time and 30+ years from now....... Dissected, gone over, analyzed and played over and over again to decide the key moments and decisive factors and pivotal moments.....


After going over it again and again and looking at the game and video this is the deciding factor in the top of the 9th inning of Game 7.... At this point both teams had played into Plan C.....


But with 3 outs to go and even 2 outs to go at some point and the Blue Jays in the lead by one run.... This was the time to use Bieber and/or Gausman for the Blue Jays and the final piece to Plan C they never capitalized on..... The moment isn't so much about Rojas hitting the HR to tie the game.... It's the failure of the Blue Jays to use Gausman and/or Bieber and fully buy into Plan C in that specific time, point and moment in the game......


Which opened the door for the Dodgers to tie the game and go into extra innings..... Had the Blue Jays followed through and bought in 100% into Plan C by using Bieber or Gausman at this point or various points in the top of the 9th...... like the Dodgers went on to do and playing Yamamoto things may have ended differently and the outcome may have been very different.


The Dodgers capitalized on the Blue Jays failure to push through with Plan C and did so on their own with Yamamoto in extra innings...... And won the 2025 World Series thanks to analytics, strategy and pulling off Plan C and the hook at the right moment and at the right time in extra innings..... That is the difference between the better team and the losing team...... That is the difference between winners and losers.....



Plan C..... And the Dodgers just executed Plan C better.




 
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I guess I should have stopped at Top 3 or Top 1 :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO:





Feb 19th, 2025........



Time to get started with The Kids' Real MLB 2025 Power Rankings ....... starting with my top 3........ Will update as the season approaches or move the list around but in general once it gets going that doesn't happen unless something big changes......










____________________________________________________________________



The Kids Real MLB 2025 Top 3 Power Rankings Feb 19th 2025.....



Based off Total Team WAR, Starting Pitching rotations projections and the WAR-Ratio as a baseline along with other factors and considerations for teams with most likelihood and highest likelihood of making postseason for 2025.......



My Rankings are more accurate and to a lower margin of error when it came to my Regular Season and Post Season Power Rankings in the 2023 season vs the "experts"......they actually reflected performance by teams better than MLB/ESPN/Verlander/The-Ringer.... as good as the "experts" in 2024 and I don't have a full department of people and "professionals" or "experts" like Ken Rosenthal running around a floor of 500 people and a nationwide network of hundreds if not thousands of reporters and journalist..........




It's just me, my WAR-Ratio method and other factors and considerations, basic stats available to everyone and a little bit of calculus along with my Ti-84+ calculator.......thats it......you heard it here first.......








Gaze into the crystal ball........





SEE THE FUTURE.......




1. Dodgers


2. Phillies


3. Astros



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The-Kids’ Real MLB/Baseball Thread……Flashbacks……




Probably the most influential and most relevant expert in Baseball of this century.......had nothing to do with Baseball or ever even watched a game in his life......




Although I did develop the WAR-Ratio I never would have figured it out if it wasn't for Jim Slater.......and adapting his PEG-Ratio to Baseball.........a British accountant, financial invester/analyst from the 70's.........





The WAR-Ratio and the perspective it brings is at the core of my Top FA's for 2024 and Baseball in general in 2023/2024/2025 in regards to my projections and its been shown to be a far superior method vs whatever other method or conventional wisdom the "experts" at the MLB/ESPN/MLB on Fox/Verlander etc etc have used for the last 100+ years or however long ^_^




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At the heart of the WAR-Ratio is the mindset of foregoing the Juan Sotos, Aaron Judges and well even the Ohtanis or Trouts of the world.......




While these players are fantastic and anyone would have them they are already valued at market price or just arent a viable choice given the money they cost for some teams......




At the core of the WAR-Ratio method is the need to indetify undervalued players in order to simply get the most back on WAR to increase Total Team WAR like one would buy a stock to get the highest return on their investment.




One can also recreate a Trout, Judge or whoever "in the aggregate" using this approach and method and its been my approach to how teams should be built. You can also probably get more WAR for less money this way too and not have all the eggs in one basket.



Jim explains it best in how he approaches Monopoly.



Due to the way the game works and the arithmetical return for what you pay you actually land on the orange houses a lot more that bring a lower return and cost less due to the "Go to Jail Card" and other cards that help you get there faster or land on the orange houses more for more and even higher returns after landing in jail or cards that make you walk back and land on orange houses again and win faster.........






The same logic is applied when using WAR with Jim Slaters PEG Ratio in this sense with Baseball and picking FAs using the WAR Ratio in that you pick players that stand a higher chance of bringing a higher return in terms of production and wins with WAR with their cumulative WAR and the cost for that WAR and the highest returns given the opportunity cost.



In Monopoly due to the rules you land on orange houses more and stand to win more buying oranges houses..... undervalued players are the orange houses in today's game and in the MLB.....forget about the more expensive blue houses and the others....





Many people don't know that about Monopoly.......or Baseball and the MLB nowadays ImO.....



 
Remember the Blue Jays were in last place in their division last season.......


Given how far they went this season......no "expert" on the planet saw the Blue Jays coming or going so far........


I call that a win and a HR in its own right..... Just like Jeremy hit a HR and he didn't even realize it ^_^



 
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