It is supply and demand flat out. Take a look at amps that have limited supply and they are also getting close to new price on the used market.
Capulin Overdrive":36wkdfhd said:
And what will the digi-junk be worth 10 or 20 years from now?
OK I want to be up front and say I am still holding on to tube amps, but being a smart enough guy I can see that something like the Axe FX is a better deal over time.
Right now the Axe FX is doing really well; people that buy them have no problem getting most of their money back when selling. Even if they don't get full amount back you have to think this way.
Let’s do a cost to own over a 5 year period, take a Mesa Boogie Triple Rectifier Vs an Axe FX II. We will add in that with the triple you will have to do at least 2 tube changes in a five year period.
Mesa $2099 New + 2 tube changes $150x2 = $2399 total out of pocket expense. When you go to resell You will be lucky to $1100. So $2399 - $1100= $1299 loss over a five year period.
Axe FX II New $2199 no other costs over five year period. Lets say we sell on the low side of $1800, that is a $400 loss over a five year period.
So in 20 years yes the Axe FX II might be in the trash or be considered so far out dated that it is not useable anymore. But let’s say you replace tubes every 2 years and estimating an increase in price of tubes at 3% every two years you are talking around $1660 in tubes over a 20 year period. That same amp you will probably have to get serviced at least once so lets say another $250 there, so overall in over a 20 year period we are talking $1910 just in maintenance charges plus or minus some cash.
In reality though Tube Vs Digital will depend on the person, do you flip a lot looking for a certain tone? do you buy used? Do you get pursued by public opinion easy? Do you hate tweaking looking for a tone? If you answered yes to these questions then I would stick with tube amps.
If you answered no to these questions I would get an Axe FX II.